Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.0%). Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Carpenter 52.2% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 50.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 64.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 50.3%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Draisaitl
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
53.1% (113)
-0.7%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
100.0% (1)
-40.5%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
60.0% (10)
+1.0%
On power play, Carpenter has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Home
54.5% (778)
58.5% (65)
Away
55.3% (692)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Draisaitl
Carpenter
P1
54.6%
65.8%
P2
56.1%
50.0%
P3
53.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%