Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 60.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 54.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 51.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Draisaitl
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Draisaitl
Seguin
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
2
Draisaitl
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
56.5% (712)
-3.9%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
59.7% (67)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
44.9% (49)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Draisaitl shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Seguin
Home
55.5% (816)
58.5% (402)
Away
51.4% (845)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Draisaitl
Seguin
P1
51.1%
58.4%
P2
51.6%
54.7%
P3
56.9%
54.1%
OT
57.1%
72.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |