Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Seguin 52.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 58.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 83.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 61.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Draisaitl
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Draisaitl
Seguin
Last 7: Draisaitl 3-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Draisaitl
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Draisaitl
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
53.2% (201)
+2.7%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
60.0% (25)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Seguin
Home
55.1% (508)
56.3% (126)
Away
58.5% (595)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Draisaitl
Seguin
P1
55.8%
44.3%
P2
55.7%
52.1%
P3
59.0%
62.5%
OT
60.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 01:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |