Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.6%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 35 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 53-44 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 68.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 62.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 53.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Draisaitl
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
53
-
44
(97 meetings)
53
44
Draisaitl
Seguin
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
24
11
Draisaitl
Seguin
35 total
Defensive Zone
Even
16
16
Draisaitl
Seguin
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
13
17
Draisaitl
Seguin
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
53.7% (8,071)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
55.9% (810)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
49.3% (762)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Seguin
Home
54.6% (7,049)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Draisaitl
Seguin
P1
52.7%
52.8%
P2
53.6%
53.3%
P3
53.4%
54.7%
OT
57.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 01:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |