Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.7%). Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Seguin 54.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 62.0%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 50.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 62.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Draisaitl
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Draisaitl
Seguin
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Draisaitl
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
2
Draisaitl
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
55.0% (713)
-2.6%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
56.7% (104)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
47.2% (53)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Seguin
Home
54.5% (778)
56.2% (443)
Away
55.3% (692)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Draisaitl
Seguin
P1
54.6%
54.2%
P2
56.1%
52.9%
P3
53.3%
57.1%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 03:41 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |