Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Gourde 46.0% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 97.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 70.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 87.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Draisaitl
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Draisaitl
Gourde
Last 5: Draisaitl 5-0 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
47.2% (654)
+8.7%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
45.0% (20)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
32.2% (87)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Gourde
Home
55.1% (508)
44.1% (322)
Away
58.5% (595)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Draisaitl
Gourde
P1
55.8%
42.4%
P2
55.7%
49.8%
P3
59.0%
44.3%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |