Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 75.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 81.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 76.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 78.5%
21.5%
78.5%
Draisaitl
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Draisaitl
Gourde
Last 10: Draisaitl 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
6
Draisaitl
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Draisaitl
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
49.1% (847)
+3.3%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
79.5% (44)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
39.5% (81)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Gourde
Home
54.5% (778)
50.1% (491)
Away
55.3% (692)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Draisaitl
Gourde
P1
54.6%
54.7%
P2
56.1%
45.0%
P3
53.3%
49.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |