Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Gourde 49.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 71.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 72.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 73.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Draisaitl
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Draisaitl
Gourde
Last 10: Draisaitl 2-8 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Draisaitl
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Draisaitl
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
5
Draisaitl
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
49.1% (731)
+3.5%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
54.3% (81)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
48.2% (85)
+1.0%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Draisaitl shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Gourde
Home
55.5% (816)
50.9% (479)
Away
51.4% (845)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Draisaitl
Gourde
P1
51.1%
51.2%
P2
51.6%
49.8%
P3
56.9%
47.5%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |