Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Gourde 48.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 30-27 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 63.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 76.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 60.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Draisaitl
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
30
(57 meetings)
27
30
Draisaitl
Gourde
Last 10: Draisaitl 9-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
10
7
Draisaitl
Gourde
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
9
12
Draisaitl
Gourde
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
8
11
Draisaitl
Gourde
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
48.4% (4,954)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
57.4% (376)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
39.9% (554)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Gourde
Home
54.6% (7,049)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Draisaitl
Gourde
P1
52.7%
49.9%
P2
53.6%
47.4%
P3
53.4%
47.5%
OT
57.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |