Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Gourde 48.0% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 91.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 59.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 82.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Draisaitl
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Draisaitl
Gourde
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
2
Draisaitl
Gourde
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Draisaitl
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
48.0% (914)
+9.4%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
54.2% (48)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
43.9% (123)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Gourde
Home
56.4% (734)
50.2% (512)
Away
57.5% (717)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Draisaitl
Gourde
P1
55.6%
50.0%
P2
62.1%
45.3%
P3
52.4%
48.6%
OT
61.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |