Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 51.2%). Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couture wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 51.3% vs Duchene 50.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 57.8%
Neutral zone
Couture 50.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Couture
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Couture
Duchene
Last 8: Couture 3-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Couture
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Couture
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Couture
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (775)
51.0% (357)
+0.4%
Power Play
59.0% (78)
53.6% (28)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (46)
50.0% (2)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Couture is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Couture shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Couture
Duchene
Home
53.3% (407)
51.0% (208)
Away
49.9% (503)
51.4% (183)
By Period
Couture
Duchene
P1
49.8%
53.3%
P2
53.3%
53.4%
P3
51.2%
44.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Logan Couture |