Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Duchene 52.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 89.5%
Defensive zone
Couture 73.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 65.0%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Couture
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Couture
Duchene
Last 8: Couture 5-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Couture
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
5
1
Couture
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Couture
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
53.9% (193)
-4.7%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
49.2% (65)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
100.0% (1)
-64.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +64.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Couture shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Couture
Duchene
Home
49.6% (713)
54.9% (113)
Away
45.0% (636)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Couture
Duchene
P1
47.2%
54.9%
P2
45.0%
52.7%
P3
50.0%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Logan Couture |