Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Duchene 54.1% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 35-24 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 89.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 65.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 78.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Couture
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
24
(59 meetings)
35
24
Couture
Duchene
Last 10: Couture 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
7
5
Couture
Duchene
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
16
8
Couture
Duchene
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
12
11
Couture
Duchene
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
53.9% (10,396)
-5.1%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
56.9% (1,665)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
49.1% (468)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Couture
Duchene
Home
49.4% (5,418)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Couture
Duchene
P1
47.9%
54.5%
P2
47.9%
54.5%
P3
49.2%
53.4%
OT
48.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Logan Couture |