Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Duchene 55.6% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 54.4%
Defensive zone
Couture 59.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 57.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Couture
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
56.5% (566)
-11.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
61.3% (62)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
22.2% (9)
+41.4%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Couture shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Couture
Duchene
Home
45.2% (62)
56.6% (318)
Away
52.9% (34)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Couture
Duchene
P1
55.2%
57.2%
P2
44.4%
55.1%
P3
50.0%
55.6%
OT
16.7%
81.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%