Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 88.7%
Defensive zone
Couture 79.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.8%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Couture
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Couture
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (986)
46.9% (162)
+1.8%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
73.2% (56)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
100.0% (2)
-55.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +55.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Couture shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Couture
Duchene
Home
47.2% (625)
58.4% (125)
Away
50.2% (650)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Couture
Duchene
P1
46.8%
56.9%
P2
49.8%
52.5%
P3
49.8%
51.9%
OT
46.2%
80.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Logan Couture |