Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.4% vs Sturm 50.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 56.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 55.8%
Neutral zone
Couture 54.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Couture
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Couture
Sturm
Last 5: Couture 2-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Couture
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Couture
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (714)
50.8% (126)
+0.0%
Power Play
51.9% (79)
50.0% (2)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (107)
66.7% (6)
-29.3%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Couture is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Couture shoots left. Sturm is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Couture
Sturm
Home
47.6% (456)
54.1% (74)
Away
51.1% (444)
48.3% (60)
By Period
Couture
Sturm
P1
50.8%
48.1%
P2
48.1%
62.0%
P3
48.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |