Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs Sturm 59.0% (-12.2%)
Offensive zone
Couture 57.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 71.3%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Couture
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
60.6% (708)
-15.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
61.1% (18)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
56.4% (101)
+7.2%
On even strength, Sturm has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Couture shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Couture
Sturm
Home
45.2% (62)
61.6% (451)
Away
52.9% (34)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Couture
Sturm
P1
55.2%
55.9%
P2
44.4%
58.9%
P3
50.0%
64.6%
OT
16.7%
70.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%