Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Sturm 56.1% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 71.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 57.2%
Neutral zone
Couture 53.6%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Couture
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Couture
Sturm
Last 7: Couture 3-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
1
Couture
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Couture
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
57.1% (2,719)
-8.3%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
61.3% (62)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
51.0% (498)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Couture
Sturm
Home
49.4% (5,418)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Couture
Sturm
P1
47.9%
56.5%
P2
47.9%
54.9%
P3
49.2%
57.4%
OT
48.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |