Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.8% vs Sturm 52.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 69.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 54.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.4%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Couture
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Couture
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Couture
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (986)
54.0% (480)
-5.3%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
28.6% (7)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
50.0% (102)
-5.9%
On power play, Couture has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Couture shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Couture
Sturm
Home
47.2% (625)
54.0% (287)
Away
50.2% (650)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Couture
Sturm
P1
46.8%
53.5%
P2
49.8%
51.0%
P3
49.8%
55.1%
OT
46.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |