Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Sturm 55.2% (-8.4%)
Offensive zone
Couture 64.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 51.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Couture
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
56.1% (716)
-6.9%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
67.7% (31)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
51.1% (133)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Couture shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Couture
Sturm
Home
49.6% (713)
55.6% (412)
Away
45.0% (636)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Couture
Sturm
P1
47.2%
59.6%
P2
45.0%
52.0%
P3
50.0%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%