Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 50.4% vs O'Reilly 51.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 52.3%
Defensive zone
Couture 66.9%
Neutral zone
Couture 59.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Couture
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Couture
O'Reilly
Last 6: Couture 2-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Couture
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Couture
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Couture
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (839)
51.5% (194)
-0.5%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
52.3% (107)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (63)
51.4% (70)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Couture is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Couture shoots left. O'Reilly is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Couture
O'Reilly
Home
51.3% (462)
50.3% (185)
Away
49.6% (488)
53.2% (186)
By Period
Couture
O'Reilly
P1
54.4%
51.0%
P2
49.4%
48.9%
P3
46.9%
53.3%
OT
58.8%
68.8%
Final 5 min
43.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
50.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |