Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 64 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 105-87 in 192 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 76.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 68.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 73.9%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Couture
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
87
-
105
(192 meetings)
87
105
Couture
O'Reilly
Last 10: Couture 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
26
38
Couture
O'Reilly
64 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
33
29
Couture
O'Reilly
62 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
28
38
Couture
O'Reilly
66 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (8,919)
56.2% (15,260)
-7.4%
Power Play
54.6% (624)
58.8% (3,445)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (992)
51.4% (2,811)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Couture shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Couture
O'Reilly
Home
49.4% (5,418)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
47.1% (5,135)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Couture
O'Reilly
P1
47.9%
55.6%
P2
47.9%
57.0%
P3
49.2%
55.1%
OT
48.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
45.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 10:17 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Logan Couture |