Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.0% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 64.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 68.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Couture
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (78)
55.0% (1,084)
-10.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
56.8% (303)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
40.3% (149)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Couture shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Couture
O'Reilly
Home
45.2% (62)
54.8% (759)
Away
52.9% (34)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Couture
O'Reilly
P1
55.2%
55.3%
P2
44.4%
51.9%
P3
50.0%
54.2%
OT
16.7%
64.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%