Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Barzal 46.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 78.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 55.9%
Neutral zone
Barzal 64.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Jankowski
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jankowski
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Jankowski
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
46.6% (483)
+5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
40.9% (22)
+9.1%
On power play, Jankowski has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Jankowski shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Barzal
Home
45.3% (64)
49.6% (242)
Away
49.6% (115)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Jankowski
Barzal
P1
53.7%
42.4%
P2
45.8%
49.5%
P3
43.4%
47.7%
Final 5 min
58.3%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |