Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Barzal 41.4% (+14.4%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 50.5%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 50.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.0%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Jankowski
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
40.4% (463)
+13.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
34.2% (38)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
28.6% (7)
+28.9%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Jankowski shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Barzal
Home
53.9% (310)
38.1% (244)
Away
54.6% (271)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Jankowski
Barzal
P1
54.6%
46.6%
P2
56.3%
35.7%
P3
51.9%
37.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%