Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Barzal 46.3% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 50.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 54.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 53.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Jankowski
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Jankowski
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
43.0% (114)
+6.3%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Jankowski is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Jankowski shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Barzal
Home
54.2% (72)
35.8% (53)
Away
47.3% (91)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Jankowski
Barzal
P1
54.2%
44.2%
P2
42.4%
38.5%
P3
55.4%
46.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |