Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +20.1% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Barzal 39.3% (+20.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 52.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 97.3%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 93.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 95.9%
95.9%
4.1%
Jankowski
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Jankowski
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
35.0% (283)
+23.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
55.6% (9)
+11.1%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Barzal
Home
54.7% (128)
37.0% (138)
Away
56.3% (215)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Jankowski
Barzal
P1
54.5%
29.5%
P2
56.5%
44.5%
P3
56.2%
31.8%
Final 5 min
52.7%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |