Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Geekie 52.1% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 71.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 65.6%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 56.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Jankowski
Geekie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
53.2% (615)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
44.4% (36)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
44.4% (18)
-5.2%
On power play, Jankowski has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Jankowski shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Geekie
Home
45.3% (64)
55.0% (331)
Away
49.6% (115)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Jankowski
Geekie
P1
53.7%
53.9%
P2
45.8%
56.0%
P3
43.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
58.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%