Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Geekie 47.6% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 60.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 57.6%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 50.7%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Jankowski
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Jankowski
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
47.0% (117)
+7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
47.1% (34)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
0.0% (3)
+57.5%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Jankowski shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Geekie
Home
53.9% (310)
45.3% (75)
Away
54.6% (271)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Jankowski
Geekie
P1
54.6%
43.1%
P2
56.3%
48.1%
P3
51.9%
47.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |