Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Geekie 49.3% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 62.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 90.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 74.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Jankowski
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Jankowski
Geekie
Last 6: Jankowski 5-1 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
1
Jankowski
Geekie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
49.9% (505)
+8.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
0.0% (6)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
48.4% (93)
-5.1%
On power play, Jankowski has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Geekie
Home
54.7% (128)
50.0% (314)
Away
56.3% (215)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Jankowski
Geekie
P1
54.5%
51.3%
P2
56.5%
46.9%
P3
56.2%
49.5%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |