Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Geekie 44.9% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 74.9%
Defensive zone
Geekie 72.6%
Neutral zone
Geekie 69.9%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Jankowski
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jankowski
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Jankowski
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
43.7% (584)
+5.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
47.1% (68)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
50.0% (8)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Jankowski is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Jankowski shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Geekie
Home
54.2% (72)
45.3% (329)
Away
47.3% (91)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Jankowski
Geekie
P1
54.2%
41.2%
P2
42.4%
45.0%
P3
55.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |