Mark Jankowski vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 53.1%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 92.2%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 87.3%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Last 5: Jankowski 4-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
44.7% (1,053)
+13.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
36.8% (95)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
65.0% (20)
-21.7%
On power play, Jankowski has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Home
54.7% (128)
49.4% (553)
Away
56.3% (215)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Jankowski
MacKinnon
P1
54.5%
45.3%
P2
56.5%
42.7%
P3
56.2%
45.1%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |