Mark Jankowski vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 63.9%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 50.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Last 10: Jankowski 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
8
Jankowski
MacKinnon
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
7
6
Jankowski
MacKinnon
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
4
0
Jankowski
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
46.1% (11,218)
+5.4%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
53.3% (1,412)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
42.8% (502)
+0.0%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Jankowski shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Home
51.9% (1,940)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Jankowski
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
47.4%
P2
51.2%
46.6%
P3
50.2%
46.1%
OT
20.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 06:34 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |