Mark Jankowski vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Jankowski
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
45.5% (1,190)
+3.8%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
56.4% (94)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
40.0% (30)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jankowski is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Jankowski shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Home
54.2% (72)
47.8% (670)
Away
47.3% (91)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Jankowski
MacKinnon
P1
54.2%
45.3%
P2
42.4%
48.5%
P3
55.4%
45.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |