Mark Jankowski vs Nathan MacKinnon

Mark JankowskiL vs Nathan MacKinnonR
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
2025-262024-252023-242022-232021-22 All Seasons
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 49.9%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Jankowski 50.5% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone MacKinnon 78.1%
Defensive zone Jankowski 66.5%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 51.3%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Jankowski MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 3 (4 meetings)
1
3
Jankowski MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Jankowski MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski MacKinnon
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
49.2% (1,266)
+2.1%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
54.9% (193)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
49.1% (55)
-5.1%
On power play, Jankowski has a +17.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Jankowski shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Jankowski
MacKinnon
Home
46.8% (188)
50.9% (740)
Away
53.5% (245)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Jankowski
MacKinnon
P1
51.6%
50.9%
P2
49.3%
51.8%
P3
50.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 22, 2025 2 12:25 Defensive Mark Jankowski
Dec 14, 2024 2 00:27 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 2, 2024 2 09:32 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 2, 2024 2 01:46 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jankowski's Profile | MacKinnon's Profile