Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.6%). Look for Carpenter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 51.7% vs Carpenter 52.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 53.4%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 61.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 57.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Jankowski
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jankowski
Carpenter
Last 7: Jankowski 3-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Jankowski
Carpenter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Jankowski
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (701)
53.6% (267)
-1.0%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
28.6% (7)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (107)
50.0% (32)
-4.2%
On power play, Jankowski has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Jankowski is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Jankowski shoots left. Carpenter is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Carpenter
Home
56.6% (424)
47.6% (145)
Away
47.0% (396)
57.1% (161)
By Period
Jankowski
Carpenter
P1
49.3%
51.7%
P2
57.4%
47.6%
P3
49.3%
57.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |