Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 62.4%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 57.3%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 57.0%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Jankowski
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
53.2% (299)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
46.5% (86)
-7.3%
On power play, Jankowski has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Jankowski shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Carpenter
Home
45.3% (64)
54.6% (207)
Away
49.6% (115)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Jankowski
Carpenter
P1
53.7%
52.3%
P2
45.8%
51.5%
P3
43.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
58.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%