Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 72.4%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 73.4%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 60.0%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Jankowski
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
48.8% (404)
+0.5%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
100.0% (1)
-62.5%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
43.6% (101)
+18.3%
On power play, Carpenter has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Jankowski is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Jankowski shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Carpenter
Home
54.2% (72)
48.9% (274)
Away
47.3% (91)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Jankowski
Carpenter
P1
54.2%
51.9%
P2
42.4%
49.4%
P3
55.4%
41.8%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%