Mark Jankowski vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 57.1%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 65.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 58.4%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Jankowski
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Jankowski
Carpenter
Last 10: Jankowski 5-5 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jankowski
Carpenter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
6
Jankowski
Carpenter
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
49.6% (2,027)
+1.9%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
41.5% (41)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
43.9% (467)
-1.1%
On power play, Jankowski has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Jankowski shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Carpenter
Home
51.9% (1,940)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Jankowski
Carpenter
P1
50.0%
49.6%
P2
51.2%
47.7%
P3
50.2%
48.0%
OT
20.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |