Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Carpenter 52.2% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 76.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 68.0%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 50.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Jankowski
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
53.1% (113)
+5.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
60.0% (10)
-16.7%
On power play, Carpenter has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Carpenter
Home
54.7% (128)
58.5% (65)
Away
56.3% (215)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Jankowski
Carpenter
P1
54.5%
65.8%
P2
56.5%
50.0%
P3
56.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%