Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 70.2%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 67.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Jankowski
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
49.3% (789)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.9% (181)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
54.1% (98)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Jankowski shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Stamkos
Home
45.3% (64)
52.0% (512)
Away
49.6% (115)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Jankowski
Stamkos
P1
53.7%
42.1%
P2
45.8%
56.4%
P3
43.4%
53.7%
Final 5 min
58.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |