Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 76.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 82.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 52.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Jankowski
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Jankowski
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
55.3% (628)
+3.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
55.1% (216)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
40.2% (87)
+3.1%
On power play, Jankowski has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Stamkos
Home
54.7% (128)
55.5% (499)
Away
56.3% (215)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Jankowski
Stamkos
P1
54.5%
50.7%
P2
56.5%
53.8%
P3
56.2%
55.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |