Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-5.7%)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 51.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 57.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.6%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Jankowski
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
55.9% (499)
-6.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
56.3% (126)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
58.3% (12)
+3.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Jankowski is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Jankowski shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Stamkos
Home
54.2% (72)
55.3% (349)
Away
47.3% (91)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Jankowski
Stamkos
P1
54.2%
57.0%
P2
42.4%
59.2%
P3
55.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
56.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%