Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 54.8%). Jankowski wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Hertl 54.5% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 82.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 80.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 51.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Jankowski
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
54.1% (1,117)
+4.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
59.8% (296)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
34.4% (32)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Jankowski is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Jankowski shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Hertl
Home
54.7% (128)
54.3% (709)
Away
56.3% (215)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Jankowski
Hertl
P1
54.5%
51.6%
P2
56.5%
53.6%
P3
56.2%
58.6%
Final 5 min
52.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%