Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Hertl 56.8% (-7.2%)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 52.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Jankowski
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
57.0% (718)
-7.7%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
64.9% (188)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
44.2% (77)
+17.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Jankowski shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Hertl
Home
54.2% (72)
59.2% (463)
Away
47.3% (91)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Jankowski
Hertl
P1
54.2%
56.3%
P2
42.4%
55.4%
P3
55.4%
60.5%
Final 5 min
56.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%