Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 58.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 77.8%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 57.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Jankowski
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jankowski
Gourde
Last 5: Jankowski 3-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
49.1% (847)
+9.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
79.5% (44)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
39.5% (81)
+3.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jankowski is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Jankowski shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Gourde
Home
54.7% (128)
50.1% (491)
Away
56.3% (215)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Jankowski
Gourde
P1
54.5%
54.7%
P2
56.5%
45.0%
P3
56.2%
49.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |