Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.5% vs Gourde 49.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 50.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 54.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 54.0%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Jankowski
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Jankowski
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Jankowski
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (347)
51.2% (469)
+0.1%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
42.9% (21)
+29.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (75)
37.5% (48)
+6.5%
On power play, Jankowski has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Jankowski shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Gourde
Home
46.8% (188)
47.8% (301)
Away
53.5% (245)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Jankowski
Gourde
P1
51.6%
47.3%
P2
49.3%
53.4%
P3
50.9%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |