Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.2% vs Gourde 48.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 81.2%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 55.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 65.3%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Jankowski
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Jankowski
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (134)
48.0% (914)
+1.3%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
54.2% (48)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
43.9% (123)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Jankowski shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Gourde
Home
54.2% (72)
50.2% (512)
Away
47.3% (91)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Jankowski
Gourde
P1
54.2%
50.0%
P2
42.4%
45.3%
P3
55.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
56.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |