Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.6% vs Gourde 46.0% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 70.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Jankowski
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jankowski
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Jankowski
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (527)
47.2% (654)
+6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
45.0% (20)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
32.2% (87)
+25.3%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jankowski is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Jankowski shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Gourde
Home
53.9% (310)
44.1% (322)
Away
54.6% (271)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Jankowski
Gourde
P1
54.6%
42.4%
P2
56.3%
49.8%
P3
51.9%
44.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |