Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Goodrow leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kastelic 54.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 88.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 78.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Goodrow
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Goodrow
Kastelic
Last 10: Goodrow 7-3 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
0
Goodrow
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
1
Goodrow
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Goodrow
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
58.0% (476)
-11.2%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
75.0% (8)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
50.9% (106)
-8.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Goodrow is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Goodrow shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Kastelic
Home
44.3% (314)
64.9% (265)
Away
47.7% (279)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Goodrow
Kastelic
P1
46.8%
58.5%
P2
44.0%
55.6%
P3
47.1%
56.8%
Final 5 min
43.2%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |